What Every Stock Trader Must Know About Price-to-Earnings Ratios

10 months ago
Stocks

When investing in stocks, traders use many different financial metrics to try to gauge if a stock is a good buy or not. Most stock traders will have heard of the price-to-earnings ratio (P/E ratio). The measurement casts an important light on how much a company should be valued and whether the company is doing well from a profitability standpoint.

At its root, the P/E ratio helps you understand if a market is overvaluing or undervaluing a stock. The tool offers a handy way to compare and contrast different stocks from the same industry on a major index, such as the NASDAQ or the S&P 500.

In this article, we will discuss the P/E ratio in greater depth by offering you common methods of calculating the P/E ratio across several stocks. This, in turn, will help you make better investment decisions.

What is the P/E Ratio?

The P/E ratio is a popular measurement that allows stock traders to compare the market share price of a company with its earnings per share (EPS). This relationship is important to know because, once you understand it, you can simply and effectively decide how much you are willing to pay for a company's stock.
Here is an example of a P/E ratio in real life. At the time of writing, Apple's share price was $175.16. Apple's diluted EPS for the prior twelve months ending in March 2023 was $5.89. This means that Apple's PE ratio for today is 29.74.
However, in early 2020, driven by huge consumer goods demand from people having to work from home during COVID, the company’s P/E ratio stood at a healthy 35.24. By contrast, in 2009, just a year out from the global financial crisis, it was at a lowly 16.94. In this context, we can see that today’s P/E ratio for the company is moderate to good by its own historical standards.

How do you calculate the P/E Ratio?

You can arrive at a final P/E ratio by dividing the market price of a share by the earnings per share of that stock. The market price per share is simply the present price at which the stock is trading. The EPS is a number that measures the firm’s net income divided by the number of shares in circulation.
Thus, the P/E ratio looks as follows:
P/E Ratio = Market Price per Share / Earnings per Share

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How Do You Use The P/E Ratio?

It’s important to mention that, like many measures in the trading world, the P/E ratio is one number that gives a small insight into a share’s performance. It is not a magic bullet that, when deployed, gives you everything you need to know about whether to buy or sell a stock. No such measure exists. Every measurement in the stock trading world gives just a little bit more information. The trick is to combine several different measures to arrive at a holistic picture of the value of the share, and even then you could get it wrong!
How you view the P/E ratio depends heavily on the industry and trading environment in which a company operates. As a rule of thumb, a higher P/E ratio indicates that investors have higher expectations for future earnings growth. Using our Apple P/E ratio, we can see that the P/E ratio was depressed after the global financial crisis, received a boost during COVID, and is presently weakening due to inconsistent global demand.
Naturally, a lower P/E ratio suggests a stock may be undervalued, indicating that investors have lower expectations for future earnings growth. Remember that what is low for a tech company may not be low for a chemical company, so always view P/E ratios respective to industry peers. That said, if a P/E ratio is simply too low, it could mean there are fundamental issues with the company’s growth prospects. 

What Do Investors Expect From P/E Ratios?

Generally speaking, a healthy P/E ratio hints that investors are expecting higher earnings growth in the future compared to firms with a lower P/E. A depressed P/E can mean either that a company’s stock is undervalued. It is hard to understand how to treat a brand-new stock that has no significant P/E trend history. This is because a P/E trend must be viewed contextually and in relation to a stock’s own history and in terms of how it is doing against peers. A company can even be in the red, leading to its P/E being expressed as a negative, but this is not the common convention.
When studying a P/E ratio, you can use historical measurements to your advantage. When they have been trading for several years, all stocks can be given a standardized measurement. This is simply the median of their P/E ratios over a period of several years. You could use this as a benchmark for a stock’s performance in both up and down cycles, which could help you decide if a stock is worth buying or if it is time to sell.

Limitations of Using the P/E Ratio

As we have said, the P/E ratio is not a magical formula. It must be viewed in conjunction with a range of other market signals. Some of the most common limitations of the P/E ratio are as follows:
Companies that aren't profitable and have a negative earnings per share present a challenge when trying to understand their value. Many startups are not profitable initially, even if they have a bright future based on the problem they are solving. This makes the P/E ratio a useless tool in instances like this.
By the way, unprofitable companies are not rare. Rivian, the maturing American electric vehicle company, has been “burning cash” for three years as it scales up its production facilities. It currently has a negative P/E ratio, but analysts are excited about its future as it has signed a partnership deal with Amazon, and it has a large, unfulfilled order book.
Another limitation of the P/E ratio comes when traders attempt to compare P/E ratios across industries. Valuations and growth rates of companies may often vary greatly among sectors due to both the different ways companies earn money and the differing timelines during which firms make that money.
This is why P/E is best used when considering companies in the same sector. If you were to compare the P/E ratios of a pharmaceutical company and an energy company, you could be led to believe that one is a better investment than the other, but this assumption would be flawed.

The Bottom Line

Remember that the P/E ratio is just one of many factors to consider when evaluating stocks. It should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools to make informed trading decisions.
However, it is a good place to start. If you are well informed about the P/E ratio of your favorite firms, you could use any movement up or down as a kind of shorthand for the company’s prospects. You would still need to perform more detailed analysis, but using the P/E as a headline indicator could be a timesaver.